Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 19

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Luton Town		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3.1
	2.28	3.36	3.16
	2.36	3.43	3.27
	2.27	3.38	3.19	Watch
	2.38	3.25	3.2
	2.27	3.4	3.15	Watch
	2.28	3.36	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.19)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	3.18 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
41.5%

Draw
28.5%

Swansea City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Luton Town - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 29. Holmes T. 6. McGuinness M. 3. Bell A. 27. Hashioka D. 8. Krauss T. 13. Nakamba M. 18. Clark J. 7. Moses V. 11. Adebayo E. 9. Morris C. (C)	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. 6. Darling H. 14. Tymon J. 25. Peart-Harris M. 17. Franco G. 20. Cullen L. 8. Grimes M. (C) 35. Ronald 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
5. Andersen M. 19. Brown J. 14. Chong T. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 37. Nelson Z. 25. Taylor J. 10. Woodrow C.	47. Abdulai A. 7. Allen J. 19. Bianchini F. 23. Christie C. 10. Eom J. 4. Fulton J. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 26. Naughton K. 21. Tjoe a On N.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Williams L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Adebayo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Ronald ↓, Eom J. ↑,
60', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Grimes M. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
69', Adebayo E. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
79', Franco G. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
80', Bell A. ↓, Andersen M. ↑,
88', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Luton will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Luton: Doughty A. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Heart Problems) Walters R. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Cooper O. (Foot Injury) Darling H. (Muscle Injury) Eom J. (Knee Injury) Fisher A. (Groin Injury) Ginnelly J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Swansea: Parker S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Luton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League Championship
30.11.24	Norwich City - Luton Town	4:2 ✺
27.11.24	Leeds United - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
23.11.24	Luton Town - Hull City	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Middlesbrough - Luton Town	5:1 ✺
06.11.24	Luton Town - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Swansea City
English League Championship
30.11.24	Swansea City - Portsmouth	2:2 ✺
27.11.24	Derby County - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Swansea City - Leeds United	3:4 ✺
10.11.24	Burnley - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Swansea City - Watford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.03.23	Luton Town - Swansea City	1:0
20.08.22	Swansea City - Luton Town	0:2
01.02.22	Swansea City - Luton Town	0:1
18.09.21	Luton Town - Swansea City	3:3
13.03.21	Luton Town - Swansea City	0:1
05.12.20	Swansea City - Luton Town	2:0
27.06.20	Swansea City - Luton Town	0:1

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