Match Info

KNVB Beker - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 8
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 8
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 8
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports


	Telstar		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.58	3.45	2.52	Watch
	2.65	3.59	2.54
	3.04	3.30	2.32	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.6	3.48	2.5	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.53)	3.45 ↓ (3.64)	2.47 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
35%

Draw
27.1%

Go Ahead Eagles
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

25.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	17.6%	35.3%

Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Telstar (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Go Ahead (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Go Ahead (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Telstar (votes: 4 - 50%). Go Ahead (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Reiziger D. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 4. Offerhaus G. 2. Hardeveld J. (C) 11. Noslin T. 23. Hatenboer C. 17. Rossen N. 3. Alders G. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 7. Hetli S. 37. van Duijn S.	22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Sampsted A. (C) 25. van Zwam G. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 21. Meulensteen M. 8. Linthorst E. 19. Slory J. 7. Breum J. 17. Suray M. 16. Edvardsen V.
Substitutes
13. Bodak T. (G) 15. Lechkar A. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 1. Mulder F. (G) 5. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 28. Oudsten R. 9. Seedorf J. 30. Tejan K.	29. Adelgaard A. 23. Baeten T. 26. Dirksen J. 24. Goudmijn K. 18. Margaret R. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 11. Sivertsen O. 27. Stokkers F. 10. Tengstedt S. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 20. Waayers E.
Coaches
Correia A.	Boel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Hetli S. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alders G. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
46', James D. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Sampsted A. ⚽, Edvardsen V. (A),
59', 2 - 1, Hardeveld J. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Noslin T. ↓, Ogidi Nwankwo N. ↑,
65', Breum J. ↓, Dirksen J. ↑,
65', van Zwam G. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
74', Sampsted A. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
74', Meulensteen M. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
81', Hetli S. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
81', van Duijn S. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
90+1', Dirksen J. 🟨,
90+2', Offerhaus G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 1.

Recent form of Telstar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Go Ahead has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Telstar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Go Ahead: Nauber G. (Broken Leg) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Sampsted A. (Red Card) Weijenberg R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Telstar: Brouwer P. (Inactive) Koeman R. (Injury) Koswal D. (Inactive) Owusu T. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.7:1.9).

Outrights of Dutch KNVB Beker for now

Telstar: 1.4% G.A. Eagles: 1.4%

Last Results with these Odds

Telstar - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Go Ahead Eagles - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.49%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
31.01.26	Zwolle - Telstar	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Telstar - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Excelsior - Telstar	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Almere City - Telstar	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Telstar - Ajax	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.26	Volendam - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Braga	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Nice - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.26	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
28.09.25	Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles	4:2
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	3:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.02.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	1:0
10.11.20	Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2
Club Friendly
02.08.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	0:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.11.19	Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2
01.04.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	2:3

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