Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 32

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: 711 Stadium (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	Telstar		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	5	Watch
	1.58	4	4.75
	1.57	4.5	5	Watch
	1.58	4.3	4.97	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.5
	1.56	4.45	4.95	Watch
	1.57	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.13)	4.29 ↑ (3.6)	4.88 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
59%

Draw
21.8%

Vitesse
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Telstar's performance.

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitesse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Telstar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Telstar - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: Telstar will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 4. Offerhaus G. 6. Bakker D. 11. Noslin T. 25. Owusu T. 17. Rossen N. 2. Hardeveld J. 23. Hetli S. 14. Kaandorp M. 9. El Kachati Y.	23. van Sas M. (G) 22. Egbring M. 3. Van Zwam G. 55. Steffen M. 28. Buttner A. (C) 8. Cornelisse E. 7. de Regt G. 18. Koller J. 20. Yegoian I. 17. Macheras T. 35. Huisman B.
Substitutes
16. Douiri A. 19. Hagedoorn S. 7. Hamdaoui M. 20. Houweling J. (G) 21. Koswal D. 15. Lechkar A. 12. Overtoom T. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R. 26. van Schooneveld J.	5. Bakker J. 16. Bramel T. (G) 11. Hoogewerf D. 2. Kreekels M. 6. Postma L. 37. Tsingaras A. 24. van der Plaat R. 9. van Duivenbooden S. 19. Visser A. 34. Zarrouk A.
Coaches
Correia A.	van den Brom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Noslin T. 🟨,
40', de Regt G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Macheras T. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
46', Kaandorp M. ↓, Hamdaoui M. ↑,
67', Huisman B. ↓, Gudelj T. ↑,
67', Noslin T. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,
80', Hetli S. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
80', Hardeveld J. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
90+2', Owusu T. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Bakker D. ⚽, Turfkruier J. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 20).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Telstar is a favorite.

There will not play in Vitesse: Buttner A. (Yellow Cards)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Telstar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.03.25	Telstar - Roda	3:1 ✺
11.03.25	Volendam - Telstar	3:0 ✺
07.03.25	Telstar - Dordrecht	5:0 ✺
03.03.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Telstar - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.03.25	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Jong Utrecht - Vitesse	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	FC Eindhoven - Vitesse	3:3 ✺
01.03.25	Vitesse - MVV Maastricht	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Helmond Sport - Vitesse	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.08.24	Vitesse - Telstar	2:3

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