The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama 53.7%
Draw 26.2%
Atlético Goianiense 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.7%
25.7%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
26.2%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Vasco da Gama - Atlético Goianiense Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vasco da Gama will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 38. Joao Victor 3. Leo 6. Lucas Piton 25. Hugo Moura 85. Mateus Carvalho 11. Coutinho 16. Alegria 99. Vegetti P. (C) 77. Rayan Vitor
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Adriano Martins 4. Alix Vinicius 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Roni 8. Baralhas (C) 7. Rhaldney 10. Shaylon 11. Luiz Fernando 9. Derek
Substitutes
90. Alex Teixeira 26. Dominguez M. 8. Jair 21. Jean David 13. Keiller (G) 66. Leandrinho 44. Luiz Gustavo 4. Maicon 18. Paulinho Paula 96. Paulo Henrique 10. Payet D. 20. Sforza J.
18. Cruz A. 16. Freitas G. 20. Janderson 17. Jan Hurtado 19. Lacava M. 13. Maguinho 14. Marcao 15. Pedro Henrique 12. Pedro Rangel (G)
Coaches
Felipe Loureiro
Gomes A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Derek (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rayan Vitor ↓, Payet D. ↑,
46', Lucas Piton ↓, Leandrinho ↑,
46', Alegria ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
46', Guilherme Romao ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
48', Hugo Moura 🟨,
50', Rhaldney 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Shaylon (A),
63', Derek ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
70', Coutinho ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
73', Payet D. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Dominguez M. ⚽, Alex Teixeira (A),
78', Baralhas ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
83', Hugo Moura ↓, Jair ↑,
85', Luiz Fernando ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
85', Rhaldney ↓, Janderson ↑,
85', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
86', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Alex Teixeira ⚽, Vegetti P. (A),
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Atlético GO is Relegated to Serie B
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2.
The competitors look crappy now.
In this match Vasco is a favorite.
There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Injury)
David
(Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Injury)
Paulinho
(Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Vasco won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:6 (average 1.1:0.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:2 (average 1.4:0.3).