Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Promotion - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN


	Volendam		Willem II

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	2.85	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.2
	2.18	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.73	3.12
	2.16	3.73	3	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.17	3.58	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.35)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)	3.03 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
43.1%

Draw
26%

Willem II
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.8%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Volendam - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Steur R. (G) 5. Ugwu P. 3. Amevor M. 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 8. Yah G. 4. Bacuna J. 77. Ould-Chikh B. 99. Descotte A. 29. Pauwels B. 9. Veerman H. (C)	1. Didillon Hodl T. (G) 3. Stam F. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 24. Tjoe a On N. 7. Doodeman N. 19. van Aalst U. 6. Besselink G. 20. El Allouchi M. 9. Haen D. 47. Baartmans S.
Substitutes
25. Blondeau L. 18. Bukala N. 10. Kuwas B. 23. Kwakman D. 27. Mau-Asam M. 14. Meijers A. 21. Muhren R. 11. Oehlers A. 6. Plat A. 30. Samson Y. (G) 40. van Cruijsen R. 22. Vlak D. (G)	23. Abildgaard L. 17. Bamba S. 2. Ciranni A. 11. Culum A. 49. de Jonge M. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 14. Mathijsen J. 48. Poortvliet J. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 22. van Loon P. 28. Verheydt T.
Coaches
Kruys R.	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Baartmans S. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Stam F. ⚽,
20', Yah G. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
22', Besselink G. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Leliendal Y. ⚽, Ould-Chikh B. (A),
44', Haen D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Descotte A. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
58', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Kuwas B. ↑,
71', Baartmans S. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
83', Stam F. ↓, Et Taibi A. ↑,
83', El Allouchi M. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
84', Bacuna J. 🟨,
88', Bacuna J. ↓, Bukala N. ↑,
88', Veerman H. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
102', Leliendal Y. 🟨,
103', Kwakman D. ↓, Plat A. ↑,
106', Tjoe a On N. ↓, de Jonge M. ↑,
106', Bamba S. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
111', Culum A. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Muhren R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Haen D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Bukala N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Hoogma J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Pauwels B. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Doodeman N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kuwas B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Culum A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Leliendal Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Didillon Hodl T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 2-1.

In recent matches, Volendam has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Willem II is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Volendam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Volendam might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Volendam: van Oevelen K. (Injury)

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Volendam: Bacuna J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Twigt C. (Injury) Zarrouk A. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Volendam won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

FC Volendam: 3.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6:20	-14	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
20.05.26	Willem II - Volendam	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Volendam - Telstar	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Excelsior - Volendam	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Volendam - Heerenveen	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Heracles Almelo - Volendam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLTLW
- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
20.05.26	Willem II - Volendam	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Willem II - Almere City	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Almere City - Willem II	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Willem II - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
05.05.26	Waalwijk - Willem II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
20.05.26	Willem II - Volendam	1:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
25.09.18	Volendam - Willem II	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.12.13	Volendam - Willem II	0:2
30.08.13	Willem II - Volendam	2:0

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