Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Promotion - Final

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 4
Ecuador	DSports 4
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
South-america	DGO Latin America


	Willem II		Volendam

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.2	Watch
	2.28	3.41	3.32
	2.26	3.33	3.13	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.07	3.65	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2)	3.47 ↓ (3.55)	3.22 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Willem II
43.9%

Draw
27%

Volendam
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

24.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Willem II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

Willem II - Volendam Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Volendam will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 35% – 88%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Volendam (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Volendam (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Didillon Hodl T. (G) 3. Stam F. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 22. van Loon P. 7. Doodeman N. 6. Besselink G. 24. Tjoe a On N. 20. El Allouchi M. 9. Haen D. 17. Bamba S.	16. Steur R. (G) 5. Ugwu P. 3. Amevor M. 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 8. Yah G. 4. Bacuna J. 77. Ould-Chikh B. 99. Descotte A. 29. Pauwels B. 9. Veerman H. (C)
Substitutes
23. Abildgaard L. 47. Baartmans S. 2. Ciranni A. 11. Culum A. 49. de Jonge M. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 14. Mathijsen J. 19. van Aalst U. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 45. van Esdonk J. 28. Verheydt T.	25. Blondeau L. 18. Bukala N. 10. Kuwas B. 23. Kwakman D. 27. Mau-Asam M. 14. Meijers A. 21. Muhren R. 11. Oehlers A. 6. Plat A. 30. Samson Y. (G) 40. van Cruijsen R. 22. Vlak D. (G)
Coaches
Stegeman J.	Kruys R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Ould-Chikh B. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Veerman H. ⚽,
34', Besselink G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Kuwas B. ↑,
46', van Loon P. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
46', Bamba S. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
46', Amevor M. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Doodeman N. ⚽, Besselink G. (A),
63', Bacuna J. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
64', Veerman H. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
64', Pauwels B. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
71', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
78', Descotte A. ↓, van Cruijsen R. ↑,
83', Haen D. ↓, Et Taibi A. ↑,
90+4', Et Taibi A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Willem II has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Volendam is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Volendam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Willem II might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock)

There will not play in Volendam: van Oevelen K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Twigt C. (Injury) Zarrouk A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Volendam: Esajas S. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Willem II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

FC Volendam: 3.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6:20	-14	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
16.05.26	Willem II - Almere City	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Almere City - Willem II	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Willem II - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
05.05.26	Waalwijk - Willem II	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	Dordrecht - Willem II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTWW
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
17.05.26	Volendam - Telstar	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Excelsior - Volendam	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Volendam - Heerenveen	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Heracles Almelo - Volendam	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Twente - Volendam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
25.09.18	Volendam - Willem II	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.12.13	Volendam - Willem II	0:2
30.08.13	Willem II - Volendam	2:0

Upcoming Matches