Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
United-kingdom	FloSports app
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Exeter Chiefs		Munster

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.4
	1.31	25	3.5
	1.36	23	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	23.67 ↑ (20.33)	3.38 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter Chiefs
68.9%

Draw
3.9%

Munster
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

4.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Munster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Exeter Chiefs - Munster Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sio S.	1. Loughman J.
2. Yeandle J.	2. Barron L.
3. Roots J.	3. Ryan J.
4. Jenkins D. (C)	4. Edogbo E.
5. Zambonin A.	5. Beirne T. (C)
6. Hooper T.	6. O'Donoghue J.
7. Vintcent R.	7. Kendellen A.
8. Fisilau G.	8. Coombes G.
9. Varney S.	9. Casey C.
10. Skinner H.	10. Crowley J.
11. Feyi-Waboso I.	11. Kilgallen D.
12. Rigg W.	12. Nankivell A.
13. Slade H.	13. Farrell T.
14. Brown-Bampoe P.	14. Abrahams T.
15. Woodburn O.	15. O'Connor B.
Substitutes
16. Dweba J.	16. Scannell N.
17. Burger E.	17. Milne M.
18. Tchumbadze B.	18. Alaalatoa M.
19. Tuima R.	19. Ahern T.
20. Worley-Brady F.	20. Quinn R.
21. Cairns T.	21. O'Donovan B.
22. Haydon-Wood W.	22. O'Brien S.
23. Ridl C.	23. Hodnett J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (31 - 0)
14', Vintcent R. (Try),
15', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
21', Slade H. (Try),
22', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
29', Slade H. (Penalty Goal),
34', Rigg W. (Try),
35', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
40', Feyi-Waboso I. (Try),
40+1', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 21)
50', Crowley J. (Try),
51', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
69', Beirne T. (Try),
69', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
74', Beirne T. 🟨,
76', Crowley J. (Try),
76', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Exeter is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Exeter is the team to beat.

We predict that Exeter will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 72:77. (average 14.4:15.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 55:42. (average 18.3:14).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter Chiefs
English Premiership Rugby
27.03.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs	14:38 ✺
21.03.26	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	26:14 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
15.03.26	Leicester Tigers - Exeter Chiefs	66:14 ✺
08.03.26	Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints	31:14 ✺
21.02.26	Exeter Chiefs - Bath	31:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Blue Bulls - Munster	34:31 ✺
21.03.26	Sharks - Munster	45:0 ✺
28.02.26	Munster - Zebre	21:7 ✺
30.01.26	Glasgow Warriors - Munster	31:22 ✺
23.01.26	Munster - Newport Gwent Dragons	22:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.23	Exeter Chiefs - Munster	32:24
16.04.22	Munster - Exeter Chiefs	26:10
09.04.22	Exeter Chiefs - Munster	13:8
19.01.19	Munster - Exeter Chiefs	9:7
13.10.18	Exeter Chiefs - Munster	10:10

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