Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 11

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday 🔴 Live Now

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Canada	16:00	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 6
Cyprus	22:00	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Oneplay
France	21:00	DAZN France
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 3
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 2
Indonesia	03:00	Kompas TV, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 4
Italy	21:00	Como TV
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	21:00	ESPN 2, ESPN 3, ESPN
Nigeria	21:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	23:00	TV Start
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	21:00	Sport TV1
South Africa	22:00	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
International	20:00	OneFootball TV


	Ajax		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.50	3.90	Watch
	1.82	4.33	3.60
	1.74	4.10	3.95
	1.76	4.35	3.90
	1.75	4.37	3.95	Watch
	1.77	4.35	3.95
	1.73	4.44	4.18	Watch
	1.73	4.30	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.86)	4.34 ↑ (4)	3.91 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
53.9%

Draw
21.8%

AZ Alkmaar
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

23.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

23.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	13.6%	9.1%

Ajax - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). AZ will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ajax (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Ajax (1.85) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. ter Stegen M. (G) 2. Rosa L. 30. Bouwman A. 15. Baas Y. 5. Wijndal O. 24. Mokio J. 4. Amrabat S. 8. Brandt J. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 99. Arokodare T. 68. Ouazane A.	28. De Busser J. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 4. Schouten L. 34. de Wit M. 6. Koopmeiners P. (C) 21. Kwakman D. 7. Weslley Patati 17. Byskov V. 11. Daal R. 9. Meerdink M.
Substitutes
67. Abdalla M. 23. Berghuis S. 28. Bissouma Y. 17. Blind D. 43. Bounida R. 10. Gloukh O. 36. Janse D. 6. Kehrer T. 38. Marcos Leonardo 26. Paes M. (G) 49. Pugno D. 21. Torrents J.	54. Bergraaf J. 27. Bouziane W. 5. Chavez Garcia M. 8. Clasie J. 75. de Wit H. 29. Hoedt W. 30. Kasius D. 18. Kovacs B. 2. Maikuma S. 20. Natali A. 1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 14. Stengs C.
Coaches
Michel	Echteld L.

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 0.

Ajax is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

AZ has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ajax carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Ajax: Adingra S. (Lacking Match Fitness) Caio Henrique (Thigh Injury) Dolberg K. (Knee Injury) Edvardsen O. (Inactive) Gaaei A. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for AZ: Hornkamp J. (Injury) Resink S. (Knee Injury) Smit K. (Injury) Zoet J. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Ajax: Berghuis S. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for AZ: Goes W. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ajax has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:29 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ajax against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ajax	10	6	3	1	29:13	16	21
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	2	2	20:12	8	20

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Ajax: 5.38% AZ Alkmaar: 1.97%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Ajax - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.26	Groningen - Ajax	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Hajduk Split - Ajax	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.10.26	Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLT
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.26	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Ararat-Armenia - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.26	Cambuur - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	AZ Alkmaar - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.10.26	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
08.02.26	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	1:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	6:0
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	0:2
16.03.25	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	2:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:0
Dutch Eredivisie
08.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:1
25.02.24	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:0

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