The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal 67.9%
Draw 19.6%
Leeds United 12.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.9%
19.9%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.3%
18.9%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Leeds United aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
11.5%
3.8%
Arsenal - Leeds United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - over (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Arsenal will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 5.
Arsenal is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Leeds have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Arsenal has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, Arsenal enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Arsenal in today's match, at odds of 1.39.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:5 (averaging 2.7:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arsenal against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 18:4 goals (averaging 3:0.7 per game).
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