Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Atalanta		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.6	2.5
	2.6	3.5	2.55
	2.72	3.5	2.6
	2.7	3.5	2.49
	2.82	3.55	2.56
	2.6	3.5	2.55
	2.85	3.74	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.08)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)	2.55 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
35.5%

Draw
27%

RB Leipzig
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta's form might have worsened.

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.5%	30.4%	38%

Atalanta - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 92 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 29 - 31.5%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 35 - 38%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 28.1% – 47.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg.

Atalanta was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (46%), has a chance of final (33%), has a small chance of win league (15%).

RB Leipzig was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (54%), has a chance of final (44%), has a chance of win league (24%).

This event has big quality 80, very big importance 100, very big match rating 90. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Atalanta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RB Leipzig is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Atalanta have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
10.04.22	Sassuolo - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.04.22	RB Leipzig - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.04.22	Atalanta - Napoli	1:3 ✺
20.03.22	Bologna - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.03.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLWW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
10.04.22	RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.04.22	RB Leipzig - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
02.04.22	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	1:4 ✺
20.03.22	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Greuther Fürth - RB Leipzig	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
07.04.22	RB Leipzig - Atalanta	1:1

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