Match Info

Date: 9 December 2021, Thursday


	Atalanta		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	1.66	4	5
	1.72	4	4.4
	1.71	4.1	5.1
	1.71	4	4.7
	1.7	4.04	5.27
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.73	4.15	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	4.01 ↑ (3.97)	4.92 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
56.3%

Draw
24.1%

Villarreal
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

19%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.1%	8.4%	5.6%

Atalanta - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (247 of 287 users predict this - 86.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.05% – 90.07%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Atalanta has currently - 6, has not chance of 1st, has a chance of 2nd (48%), has a chance of 3rd (48%), has a chance of round of 16 (48%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Villarreal has currently - 7, has not chance of 1st, has a good chance of 2nd (52%), has a chance of 3rd (48%), has a good chance of round of 16 (52%), has a small chance of qtrs (14%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Atalanta in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villarreal is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Atalanta is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Atalanta to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
04.12.21	Napoli - Atalanta	2:3 ✺
30.11.21	Atalanta - Venezia	4:0 ✺
27.11.21	Juventus - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.11.21	Young Boys - Atalanta	3:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.11.21	Atalanta - Spezia	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWTW
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
04.12.21	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Victoria CF - Villarreal	0:8 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
27.11.21	Villarreal - Barcelona	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.11.21	Villarreal - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
20.11.21	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
14.09.21	Villarreal - Atalanta	2:2

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