Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Paramount+
Canada	Sportsnet
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Discovery+, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Blackburn Rovers		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	5.75	5.25	1.45	Watch
	6	5	1.46
	6	5	1.48	Watch
	5.8	4.9	1.47
	6.02	5.2	1.47
	6	5	1.36
	6	5.1	1.46	Watch
	6	4.9	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.95 ↑ (5.05)	5.04 ↑ (4.59)	1.45 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
15.9%

Draw
18.8%

Newcastle United
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

20.5%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

20%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.4%	5.4%	89.2%

Blackburn Rovers - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.18% – 99.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pears A. (G) 5. Hyam D. (C) 55. McFadzean K. 16. Wharton S. 2. Brittain C. 21. Buckley J. 24. Moran A. 45. Chrisene B. 10. Dolan T. 9. Gallagher S. 8. Szmodics S.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Trippier K. 6. Lascelles J. (C) 5. Schar F. 33. Burn D. 36. Longstaff S. 39. Guimaraes B. 28. Willock J. 23. Murphy J. 14. Isak A. 10. Gordon A.
Substitutes
44. Ayari Y. 42. Finneran R. 30. Garrett J. 14. Koumetio B. 18. Markanday D. 3. Pickering H. 7. Sigurdsson A. 33. Telalovic S. 12. Wahlstedt L. (G)	24. Almiron M. 32. Anderson E. 15. Barnes H. 20. Hall L. 18. Karius L. (G) 17. Krafth E. 21. Livramento V. 67. Miley L. 11. Ritchie M.
Coaches
Eustace J.	Howe E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Blackburn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Newcastle is a favorite.

There will not play in Blackburn: Carter H. (Muscle Injury) Fleck J. (Calf Injury) Rankin-Costello J. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Anderson E. (Back Injury) Joelinton (Thigh Injury) Pope N. (Shoulder Injury) Targett M. (Injury) Tonali S. (Suspended) Wilson C. (Chest Injury)

There are questionable in Blackburn: Leonard H. (Knock)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Blackburn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
24.02.24	Blackburn Rovers - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Cardiff City - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Preston North End - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
13.02.24	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTTLW
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
24.02.24	Arsenal - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
17.02.24	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United	2:3 ✺
03.02.24	Newcastle United - Luton Town	4:4 ✺
30.01.24	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
15.09.20	Newcastle United - Blackburn Rovers	1:0
English FA Cup
15.01.19	Blackburn Rovers - Newcastle United	2:4 ET
05.01.19	Newcastle United - Blackburn Rovers	1:1
English League Championship
02.01.17	Blackburn Rovers - Newcastle United	1:0
26.11.16	Newcastle United - Blackburn Rovers	0:1
English Premier League
01.02.12	Blackburn Rovers - Newcastle United	0:2

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