Match Info

Date: 26 January 2021, Tuesday


	Bournemouth		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	14	Watch
	1.19	6.5	17.5
	1.23	6.75	13	Watch
	1.21	6	14
	1.19	7.2	15.4
	1.22	6	13
	1.25	6.45	14.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.39)	6.49 ↑ (4.37)	14.45 ↑ (9.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
78.7%

Draw
14.7%

Crawley Town
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

21.7%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

11.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bournemouth's performance.

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-43.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bournemouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	11.1%	27.8%

Bournemouth - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 22 - 61.1%). Crawley will win (votes: 10 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 45.2% – 77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bournemouth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crawley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bournemouth is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English League Championship
19.01.21	Derby County - Bournemouth	1:0 ✺
16.01.21	Bournemouth - Luton Town	0:1 ✺
12.01.21	Bournemouth - Millwall	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.21	Oldham Athletic - Bournemouth	4:1 ✺
English League Championship
02.01.21	Stoke City - Bournemouth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLTLW
- Crawley Town
English FA Cup
10.01.21	Crawley Town - Leeds United	3:0 ✺
English League Two
02.01.21	Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
29.12.20	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.20	Crawley Town - Newport County	1:1 ✺
19.12.20	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.12.12	Bournemouth - Crawley Town	3:0
02.10.12	Crawley Town - Bournemouth	3:1

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