Match Info

Serie A - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM
China	Migu
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN
Finland	DAZN, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Como		Roma

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.75
	2.45	3.50	2.75
	2.45	3.4	2.82	Watch
	2.53	3.55	2.86
	2.55	3.56	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.45	2.8
	2.61	3.74	2.74
	2.48	3.55	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.59)	3.53 ↓ (3.57)	2.78 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
38.3%

Draw
27.2%

Roma
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.1%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	34.5%	41.4%

Como - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Roma will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 23.5% – 59.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Como (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Roma (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 1 - 25%). Roma (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 27. Couto Y. 4. Ramon J. 99. Chalobah T. 16. Kaiki 5. Perrone M. 7. Da Cunha L. (C) 11. Diao A. 10. Paz N. 8. Caqueret M. 9. Douvikas A.	95. Gollini P. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 20. Molina N. 15. De Roon M. 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 21. Dybala P. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
42. Addai J. 20. Baturina M. 13. Dossena A. 18. Goldaniga E. 53. Kambwala W. 2. Kempf M. O. 15. Lahdo A. 30. Liberali M. 6. Milla L. 21. Ricci S. 17. Rodriguez J. 97. Sanchez R. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 3. Valle A. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	26. Balerdi L. 9. Castro S. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 87. Ghilardi D. 77. Lulli E. 86. Mora R. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 18. Soule M. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Gasperini G.

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Roma: Bah M. (Knee Injury) Cristante B. (Injury) Koulierakis K. (Knock) Svilar M. (Toe Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Como has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Como against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 11.82% Como: 5.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	11	13
7	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Como - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.69%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Roma - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Frosinone - Como	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Como - Parma	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Como - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
04.09.26	Genoa - Como	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
19.09.26	Roma - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Torino - Roma	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.09.26	Roma - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Lecce - Roma	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Como - Roma	2:1
15.12.25	Roma - Como	1:0
02.03.25	Roma - Como	2:1
15.12.24	Como - Roma	2:0

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