Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Argentina	16:30	Disney+, ESPN, FOX Sports
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports
Australia	06:30	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	20:30	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Brazil	16:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	21:30	Nova Sport
Canada	15:30	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:30	ESPN
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 1
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	20:30	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	19:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Israel	21:30	Sport 4
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Laos	02:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	13:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	14:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	19:30	DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Saudi Arabia	22:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	03:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Sport TV2
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	15:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	19:30	Onefootball


	Darmstadt		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	2.48	3.25	2.68	Watch
	2.64	3.45	2.8
	2.57	3.38	2.72	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.63	Watch
	2.58	3.34	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.27)	3.33 ↓ (3.48)	2.69 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
36.7%

Draw
28.3%

Schalke 04
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darmstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	50%	14.3%

Darmstadt - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Schalke will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 5. Maglica M. 15. Nurnberger F. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 23. Richter M. 9. Hornby F. 8. Marseiler L. 7. Lidberg I.	1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
26. Bader M. 30. Brunst A. (G) 34. Corredor K. 32. Holland F. 19. Lakenmacher F. 21. Papela M. 18. Petretta R. 31. Schmidt N. 20. Vukotic A.	47. Amoussou-Tchibara Z. 43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 7. Gomis C. 37. Gruger M. 22. Muller K. (G) 2. Sanchez F. 35. Wallentowitz M.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Marseiler L. ↓, Corredor K. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Sylla M. ⚽,
45+4', Becker T. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Lidberg I. ⚽, Pfeiffer P. (A),
45+6', Karaman K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', Ljubicic D. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
79', Sylla M. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
83', Nurnberger F. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
83', Richter M. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
90+1', Klefisch K. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3.

Darmstadt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Schalke is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Darmstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Dzeko E. (Red Card) Gantenbein A. (Calf Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury) Porath F. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Darmstadt	9	2	2	5	8:18	-10	8

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Darmstadt: 0.32%

Last Results with these Odds

Schalke 04 - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.18%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
13.03.26	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWT
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.26	Schalke 04 - Hannover	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	4:0
German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.25	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	1:0
23.02.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:0
20.09.24	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	3:5
17.04.22	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:5
07.11.21	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	2:4
German Bundesliga
16.04.17	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:1

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