Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 4

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)


	Deportivo Maipú		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.10	4.10	Watch
	1.98	2.95	3.90
	1.98	2.98	4.05	Watch
	1.98	3.26	4.55
	2.03	3.03	4.16	Watch
	1.95	3.00	4.00
	1.89	3.02	4.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.13)	3.05 ↑ (2.93)	4.14 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
47.1%

Draw
30.4%

Gimnasia y Tiro
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

31.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

32.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galardi N. (G) 2. Paulini S. 3. de la Reta J. 4. Faggioli L. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 11. Gobetto J. 5. Mansilla G. 8. Bonfigli M. 10. Eggel M. (C) 7. Saccone F. 9. Giacone J.	1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Galetto J. 6. Birge M. (C) 2. Diaz G. 3. Aguirre J. 5. Sivetti F. 8. Banega T. 7. Rocca J. 10. Rinaldi N. 11. Rojas F. 9. Gordillo L.
Substitutes
20. Barrera V. 19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 13. Leiva M. 17. Nazar J. 14. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 18. Silva T. 16. Vera J.	19. Batista I. 15. Borquez T. 17. Capano J. 20. Contin N. 18. Montoya W. 13. Oviedo J. C. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 14. Rodriguez P. A. 16. Villarreal R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Rocca J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Giacone J. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
46', Rocca J. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
49', Diaz G. 🟨,
54', Silva T. 🟨,
79', Rinaldi N. ↓, Oviedo J. C. ↑,
79', Gordillo L. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
79', Bonfigli M. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
85', Rojas F. ↓, Montoya W. ↑,
86', Galetto J. ↓, Villarreal R. ↑,
86', Banega T. 🟨,
90+2', Aguero Gimenez A. R. 🟨,
90+3', Silva T. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,

Preview

Federation decision.

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gimnasia y Tiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportivo Maipú could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.26	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
07.06.26	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.26	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
05.06.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Maipú	1:0
13.04.25	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0

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