Match Info

Date: 18 July 2021, Sunday


	Derby County		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.72
	4	3.8	1.72
	3.95	3.5	1.69
	4.16	4.07	1.78
	3.9	3.5	1.72
	4.05	3.95	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (6.45)	3.76 ↓ (4.9)	1.74 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
23%

Draw
24.3%

Manchester United
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

19.3%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derby County's performance.

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	10.3%	69%

Derby County - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Man Utd will win (votes: 20 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

In this match Man Utd is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English League Championship
08.05.21	Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday	3:3 ✺
01.05.21	Swansea City - Derby County	2:1 ✺
24.04.21	Derby County - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
20.04.21	Preston North End - Derby County	3:0 ✺
16.04.21	Blackburn Rovers - Derby County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Manchester United
UEFA Europa League
26.05.21	Villarreal - Manchester United	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
23.05.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
18.05.21	Manchester United - Fulham	1:1 ✺
13.05.21	Manchester United - Liverpool	2:4 ✺
11.05.21	Manchester United - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
05.03.20	Derby County - Manchester United	0:3
English League Cup
25.09.18	Manchester United - Derby County	2:3 penalties
English FA Cup
05.01.18	Manchester United - Derby County	2:0
29.01.16	Derby County - Manchester United	1:3

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