The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ertis Pavlodar 46.9%
Draw 27.3%
Kyzylzhar 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
26.2%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
24.6%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ertis Pavlodar's form might have worsened.
Kyzylzhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ertis Pavlodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyzylzhar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ertis will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 0.
In recent outings, Ertis has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kyzylzhar is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ertis is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Ertis has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ertis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).
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