The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Groningen 24.9%
Draw 22.6%
Ajax 52.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.8%
21.9%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22%
21.1%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Groningen - Ajax Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Ajax (1.95) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ajax will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs and 5th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Groningen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Ajax is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Groningen: Hernes T.
(Injury)
Jeng M.
(Leg Injury)
Mercera T.
(Injury)
van der Laan E.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Injury)
Blind D.
(Back Injury)
Caio Henrique
(Thigh Injury)
Dolberg K.
(Knee Injury)
Gaaei A.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Groningen has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:45 (averaging 0.9:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Groningen against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 14:16 goals (averaging 1.4:1.6 per game).
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