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Holstein Kiel - RB Leipzig

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Match Info

  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Holstein Kiel RB Leipzig
    Holstein Kiel RB Leipzig
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.95 ↑
    (4.99)    		 4.67 ↑
    (4.42)    		 1.52 ↓
    (1.62)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Holstein Kiel
    16.2%    		Draw
    20.6%    		RB Leipzig
    63.2%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    19.2% 21.7% 59.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    18.3% 20.7% 62.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    6.6% 8.2% 85.2%

    Holstein Kiel - RB Leipzig Predictions

  • Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (50 of 59 users predict this - 84.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.58% โ€“ 93.92%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanyWeiner T. (C)
      6. SerbiaIvezic M.
    15. GermanySchulz M.
    14. GermanyGeschwill M.
    23. GermanyRosenboom L.
    24. NorwayKnudsen M.
      8. GermanyPorath F.
    37. BosniaGigovic A.
    22. GermanyRemberg N.
    18. JapanMachino S.
    19. GermanyHarres P.
    		  1. HungaryGulacsi P. (G)
    39. GermanyHenrichs B.
    13. AustriaSeiwald N.
      4. HungaryOrban W. (C)
      3. NetherlandsGeertruida L.
    14. AustriaBaumgartner C.
    18. BelgiumVermeeren A.
      8. MaliHaidara A.
      7. NorwayNusa A.
    30. SloveniaSesko B.
    11. BelgiumOpenda L.
    Substitutes
    20. GermanyArp J.-F.
    11. SwedenBernhardsson A.
    21. GermanyDahne T. (G)
    10. GermanyHoltby L.
    33. SlovakiaJavorcek D.
    16. GermanyKelati A. Y.
      9. AustriaPichler B.
    27. PolandPuchacz T.
      7. GermanySkrzybski S.
    		19. PortugalAndre Silva
    47. GermanyGebel V.
    38. GermanyJatta N.
    44. SloveniaKampl K.
    16. GermanyKlostermann L.
    31. FranceSakar F.
    24. AustriaSchlager X.
    26. BelgiumVandevoordt M. (G)
    25. GermanyZingerle L. (G)
    Coaches
         GermanyRapp M.
    		     GermanyRose M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 27', 0 - 1, Sesko B. ⚽,
    • 36', Gigovic A. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 46', Knudsen M. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
    • 56', Openda L. 🟨,
    • 62', Gigovic A. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
    • 63', Geertruida L. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
    • 63', Sesko B. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
    • 63', Haidara A. ↓, Schlager X. ↑,
    • 67', Schulz M. 🟨,
    • 68', Weiner T. 🟨,
    • 69', 0 - 2, Andre Silva (Pen),
    • 74', Schulz M. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
    • 74', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
    • 80', Machino S. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
    • 84', Henrichs B. 🟨,
    • 90', Bernhardsson A. 🟨,
    • 90+1', Vermeeren A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
    • 90+4', Baumgartner C. ↓, Sakar F. ↑,

    Preview

  • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
  • Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
  • In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
  • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Becker T. (Toe Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kleine-Bekel C. (Surgery) Knudsen M. (Leg Injury) Komenda M. (Groin Injury)
  • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Elmas E. (Muscle Injury) Lukeba C. (Hamstring Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Muscle Injury) Poulsen Y. (Hip Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Schulz M. (Illness)
  • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Kampl K. (Ankle Injury)
  • Last 2 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Holstein Kiel
    German Bundesliga
    29.11.24 St. Pauli - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺
    24.11.24 Holstein Kiel - Mainz 0:3 ✺
    09.11.24 Werder Bremen - Holstein Kiel 2:1 ✺
    02.11.24 Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim 1:0 ✺
    German DFB Pokal
    29.10.24 Kรถln - Holstein Kiel 3:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9
    LLLWL
    - RB Leipzig
    German DFB Pokal
    04.12.24 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 3:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga
    30.11.24 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:5 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    26.11.24 Inter Milan - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga
    23.11.24 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 4:3 ✺
    09.11.24 RB Leipzig - Borussia Mรถnchengladbach 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9
    WLLLT
    Latest Head to Head
    German 3 Bundesliga
    22.02.14 Holstein Kiel - RB Leipzig 0:2
    03.09.13 RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel 3:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga
    01.11.26 Greuther Fรผrth - Holstein Kiel ✺
    German DFB Pokal
    28.10.26 Holstein Kiel - Hoffenheim ✺
    - RB Leipzig
    UEFA Champions League
    04.11.26 RB Leipzig - Manchester City ✺
    German Bundesliga
    31.10.26 Schalke 04 - RB Leipzig ✺

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