Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
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Asia	TOD
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France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Germany	ARD, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, Sportschau, WOW
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Portugal	DAZN 6
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	Holstein Kiel		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.5	Watch
	5.75	4.6	1.51
	6	4.75	1.52	Watch
	6.04	4.73	1.52
	5.96	4.7	1.54	Watch
	5.8	4.5	1.5	Watch
	6.02	4.84	1.56	Watch
	6	4.75	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.95 ↑ (4.99)	4.67 ↑ (4.42)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
16.2%

Draw
20.6%

RB Leipzig
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

21.7%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

20.7%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.6%	8.2%	85.2%

Holstein Kiel - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (50 of 59 users predict this - 84.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.58% – 93.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (C) 6. Ivezic M. 15. Schulz M. 14. Geschwill M. 23. Rosenboom L. 24. Knudsen M. 8. Porath F. 37. Gigovic A. 22. Remberg N. 18. Machino S. 19. Harres P.	1. Gulacsi P. (G) 39. Henrichs B. 13. Seiwald N. 4. Orban W. (C) 3. Geertruida L. 14. Baumgartner C. 18. Vermeeren A. 8. Haidara A. 7. Nusa A. 30. Sesko B. 11. Openda L.
Substitutes
20. Arp J.-F. 11. Bernhardsson A. 21. Dahne T. (G) 10. Holtby L. 33. Javorcek D. 16. Kelati A. Y. 9. Pichler B. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Skrzybski S.	19. Andre Silva 47. Gebel V. 38. Jatta N. 44. Kampl K. 16. Klostermann L. 31. Sakar F. 24. Schlager X. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 25. Zingerle L. (G)
Coaches
Rapp M.	Rose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Sesko B. ⚽,
36', Gigovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Knudsen M. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
56', Openda L. 🟨,
62', Gigovic A. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
63', Geertruida L. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
63', Sesko B. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
63', Haidara A. ↓, Schlager X. ↑,
67', Schulz M. 🟨,
68', Weiner T. 🟨,
69', 0 - 2, Andre Silva (Pen),
74', Schulz M. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
74', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
80', Machino S. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
84', Henrichs B. 🟨,
90', Bernhardsson A. 🟨,
90+1', Vermeeren A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
90+4', Baumgartner C. ↓, Sakar F. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Becker T. (Toe Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kleine-Bekel C. (Surgery) Knudsen M. (Leg Injury) Komenda M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Elmas E. (Muscle Injury) Lukeba C. (Hamstring Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Muscle Injury) Poulsen Y. (Hip Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Schulz M. (Illness)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Kampl K. (Ankle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga
29.11.24	St. Pauli - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Holstein Kiel - Mainz	0:3 ✺
09.11.24	Werder Bremen - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Köln - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- RB Leipzig
German DFB Pokal
04.12.24	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.24	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Inter Milan - RB Leipzig	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
23.11.24	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	4:3 ✺
09.11.24	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
22.02.14	Holstein Kiel - RB Leipzig	0:2
03.09.13	RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel	3:1

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