The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Las Vegas Lights 28.7%
Draw 28.2%
Loudoun United 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
28.8%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
29.1%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Vegas Lights's form might have worsened.
Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loudoun United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loudoun United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
56. Arozarena R. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 5. Gartig E. 24. Howell M. 33. Nigro G. 6. Pearson C. 17. Leal P. 7. Gyau J. 27. Noel V. (C) 11. Pinzon C. 14. Rodriguez J.
23. Fauroux H. (G) 3. Tingey K. 5. Leerman Y. 20. Mines B. 6. Awuah K. 8. Nyeman M. 17. Santos P. 4. McCabe T. 11. Aboukoura A. 10. Valot F. 14. Ryan Z. (C)
Substitutes
1. Ammeter N. (G) 10. Azcona E. 41. Covil V. 13. Humphrey T. 9. Pickering N. 18. Singer J. 20. Smart S.
15. Bidois R. 19. Dagnachew S. 30. Jack R. (G) 7. Leggett W. 13. Nagy A. 35. Pendleton E. 16. Turner C.
Coaches
Nocerino A.
Martin R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Nyeman M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
44', Gartig E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nigro G. ↓, Smart S. ↑,
56', Gyau J. ↓, Azcona E. ↑,
59', McCabe T. 🟨,
60', Santos P. 🟨,
62', Nyeman M. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
63', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
68', Noel V. ↓, Singer J. ↑,
68', Santos P. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
69', Pinzon C. 🟨,
82', Mines B. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
82', Ryan Z. ↓, Turner C. ↑,
86', Pinzon C. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Las Vegas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Loudoun is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
Watch
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Arozarena R. (G) 
Boudadi Y. 
Gartig E. 
Howell M. 
Nigro G. 
Leal P. 
Noel V. (C) 
Pinzon C. 
Awuah K. 
Santos P. 
Ammeter N. (G) 
Azcona E. 
Bidois R. 
Dagnachew S. 
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