Match Info

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	1.64	4.06	4.91
	1.6	3.95	4.8
	1.67	4.12	5.02	Watch
	1.52	3.77	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.52)	3.98 ↑ (3.77)	4.9 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
57.7%

Draw
23.3%

Akron Tolyatti
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.5%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 2.

Lokomotiv has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Akron has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Akron could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Lokomotiv is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:10 (averaging 2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 13:5 goals (averaging 2.2:0.8 per game).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Lokomotiv Moscow: 1.82% Akron Togliatti: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
10.10.26	Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTLW
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
09.10.26	Rostov - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
01.09.26	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
01.09.26	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:0
Russian Premier League
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:0
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:0
Russian Premier League
22.03.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	5:1
26.10.25	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1
Russian Cup
16.09.25	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:3
28.08.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	2:0

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