Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza)

Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Monza		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.2
	2.37	3.30	3.00
	2.35	3.15	3.15
	2.4	3.29	3.29
	2.36	3.24	3.17	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3.15
	2.45	3.3	3.3
	2.32	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)	3.24 ↑ (3.23)	3.18 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
40.5%

Draw
29.5%

Cagliari
30%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.4%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

30.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Monza - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Cagliari will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Cagliari (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.82) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cagliari will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 15th and 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

Recent results have been tough for Monza (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cagliari is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Monza: Forson O. (Injury) Lucchesi L. (Red Card) Pessina M. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Contusion) Ziolkowski J. (Foot Injury).

Confirmed absences for Cagliari: Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Trepy Y. (Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Monza has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	6:3	3	13
15	Monza	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Cagliari: 0.4% Monza: 0.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Monza - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.26%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Cagliari - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 28.3%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Lazio - Monza	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Brest - Monza	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Monza - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.09.26	Monza - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Lecce - Monza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLWL
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Cagliari - Juventus	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Udinese - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Cagliari - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Cagliari - Verona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.03.25	Cagliari - Monza	3:0
05.01.25	Monza - Cagliari	1:2
16.03.24	Monza - Cagliari	1:0
26.11.23	Cagliari - Monza	1:1

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