Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)


	Port Vale		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	2
	3.4	3.5	2
	3.6	3.5	2
	3.47	3.4	2.06
	3.67	3.63	2.06
	3.5	3.5	1.95
	3.55	3.58	2.04	Watch
	3.45	3.45	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.68)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	2.01 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
26.5%

Draw
26.8%

Portsmouth
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

27.6%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	4.2%	83.3%

Port Vale - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 10. Chislett E. 44. Gore D. 15. Grant C. 17. Iacovitti A. 12. Ikpeazu U. 16. Lowe J. 19. Massey G. 6. Smith N. (C) 20. Weir J. 29. Wilson J.	1. Norris W. (G) 9. Bishop C. 24. Devlin T. 25. Kamara A. 32. Lane P. 26. Lowery T. 16. Morrell J. (C) 6. Ogilvie C. 44. Peart-Harris M. 20. Raggett S. 18. Shaughnessy C.
Substitutes
27. Debrah J. 25. Dipepa B. 13. Leutwiler J. (G) 9. Loft R. 4. Sang T. 23. Shorrock J. 24. Walters R.	13. Macey M. (G) 29. Martin J. 15. Saydee C. 10. Scully A. 21. Sparkes J. 4. Towler R. 11. Whyte G.
Coaches
Crosby A.	Mousinho J.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Port Vale is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Port Vale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Portsmouth will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League One
06.01.24	Port Vale - Charlton Athletic	3:3 ✺
01.01.24	Carlisle United - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
29.12.23	Port Vale - Blackpool	3:0 ✺
26.12.23	Port Vale - Barnsley	2:3 ✺
23.12.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWLT
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
20.01.24	Fleetwood Town - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Portsmouth - Leyton Orient	0:3 ✺
06.01.24	Cheltenham Town - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Portsmouth - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
29.12.23	Exeter City - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.10.23	Portsmouth - Port Vale	2:0
25.03.23	Portsmouth - Port Vale	2:2
27.08.22	Port Vale - Portsmouth	0:1

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