Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 3
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 6
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
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Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
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Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Porto		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8
	1.39	5.05	8.6
	1.37	5.26	8.19
	1.42	4.80	6.79	Watch
	1.42	5.16	8.6
	1.37	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)	5.05 ↑ (4.8)	7.95 ↑ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
69%

Draw
19%

Nice
12%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19.7%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

19%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.3%	3.6%	9.1%

Porto - Nice Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Porto (2.34) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Porto (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Porto will win (48 of 54 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.51% – 97.27%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 30 - 90.9%). Nice (votes: 1 - 3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 13. Rosario P. 4. Kiwior J. 74. Moura F. 8. Froholdt V. 22. Varela A. 10. Veiga G. 11. Pepê 9. Samu 27. Gul D.	80. Diouf Y. (G) 92. Clauss J. 33. Mendy A. 4. Dante (C) 26. Bard M. 2. Abdi A. 25. Cho M. 24. Vanhoutte C. 8. Sanson M. 10. Diop S. 9. Moffi T.
Substitutes
5. Bednarek J. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 24. Costa J. (G) 26. de Jong L. 6. Eustaquio S. 52. Fernandes M. 86. Mora R. 25. Perez T. 21. Prpic D. 17. Sainz B. 7. William Gomes 12. Zaidu	99. Abdul Samed S. 28. Bah J. 7. Boga J. 6. Boudaoui H. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin 20. Louchet T. 22. Ndombele T. 37. Peprah K. 30. Zelazowski B. (G)
Coaches
Farioli F.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Veiga G. ⚽, Pepê (A),
33', 2 - 0, Veiga G. ⚽, Froholdt V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Varela A. ↓, Bednarek J. ↑,
52', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Samu (Pen),
67', Gul D. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
68', Moffi T. ↓, Kevin ↑,
68', Cho M. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
68', Diop S. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
73', Samu ↓, de Jong L. ↑,
73', Froholdt V. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
77', Bednarek J. 🟨,
78', Mendy A. 🟨,
79', Clauss J. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
79', Dante ↓, Peprah K. ↑,
80', Veiga G. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
90+3', Sainz B. 🟨,

Preview

Porto is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nice has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Bednarek J. (Knee Injury) Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Porto will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Porto - Sintrense	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
09.11.25	Famalicão - Porto	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Utrecht - Porto	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
02.11.25	Porto - Braga	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Moreirense - Porto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWW
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
21.11.25	Nice - Olympique Marseille	1:5 ✺
09.11.25	Metz - Nice	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Nice - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Nice - Lille	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

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