Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Ulytau		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.30	2.20
	2.69	4.09	2.13	Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.25
	2.71	4.22	2.18
	2.55	3.55	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.67)	3.73 ↓ (4.15)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulytau
34.7%

Draw
24.3%

Okzhetpes
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

22.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

21.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulytau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ulytau - Okzhetpes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 4th).

Recent results have been tough for Ulytau (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Okzhetpes shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Ulytau has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ulytau against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
18.09.26	Aktobe - Ulytau	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ulytau - Altai Semey	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Tobol Kostanay - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ulytau - Zhetysu	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Kairat - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLWL
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
18.09.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Okzhetpes - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kaisar - Okzhetpes	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
21.03.26	Okzhetpes - Ulytau	2:1
19.07.25	Okzhetpes - Ulytau	1:0
19.04.25	Ulytau - Okzhetpes	0:1
Kazakh First League
15.08.24	Ulytau - Okzhetpes	2:0
31.05.24	Okzhetpes - Ulytau	1:1

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