Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.76
	1.43	2.73	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.5	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	2.61 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
63.4%

Corentin Moutet
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 23. Moutet is ranked ATP: 30.

Recent performances by Davidovich Fokina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Moutet has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Davidovich Fokina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Davidovich Fokina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Davidovich Fokina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.18%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Roma
11.05.26	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Christian Garin - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Corentin Moutet - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Corentin Moutet	2:0
ATP Roma
09.05.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Corentin Moutet	2:0
14.09.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Corentin Moutet	2:0

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