Match Info
EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3Date: 12 January 2025, SundayLocation: Stade Marcel-Deflandre (La Rochelle)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, France 2 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 World | FloSports app |
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La Rochelle |
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Leinster |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
23 |
1.36 |
|
 |
3 |
21 |
1.4 |
|
 |
3.25 |
22 |
1.37 |
|
 |
3.37 |
23 |
1.37 |
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 |
3.25 |
21 |
1.36 |
|
 |
3.41 |
26 |
1.34 |
|
 |
3.25 |
22 |
1.37 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(2.65) |
22.57 ↑
(19.7) |
1.37 ↓
(1.53) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Rochelle
28.4% | Draw
4.1% | Leinster
67.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Rochelle's form might have worsened.Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leinster's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Rochelle than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Rochelle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leinster than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leinster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.La Rochelle - Leinster Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Leinster will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:27 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Wardi R.
| 1.  Healy C.
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2. Lespiaucq-Brettes Q.
| 2. Kelleher R.
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3. Atonio U.
| 3. Furlong T.
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4. Lavault T.
| 4. McCarthy J.
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5.  Douglas K.
| 5. Ryan J.
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6. Boudehent P.
| 6. Baird R.
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7. Jegou O.
| 7. van der Flier J.
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8. Alldritt G. (C)
| 8. Sweetman-Doris C.
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9.  Kerr-Barlow T.
| 9. Gibson-Park J.
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10. Hastoy A.
| 10. Prendergast S.
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11.  Leyds D.
| 11. Osborne J.
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12. Favre J.
| 12. Henshaw R.
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13.  Seuteni U.
| 13. Ringrose G.
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14.  Nowell J.
| 14. O'Brien J.
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15. Dulin B.
| 15. Barrett J.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16.  Sutidze N.
| 16. McCarthy G.
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17. Kaddouri A.
| 17. Porter A.
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18. Colombe Reazel G.
| 18. Slimani R.
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19. Dillane U.
| 19. Snyman R.
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20.  Botia L.
| 20. Conan J.
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21. Cancoriet J.
| 21. McGrath L.
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22. Haddad M.
| 22. Byrne R.
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23. Bosmorin H.
| 23. Frawley C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 10)
- 4', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 11', Prendergast S. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 30', McCarthy J. (Try),
- 31', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (8 - 6)
- 51', Prendergast S. (Penalty Goal),
- 55', Prendergast S. (Penalty Goal),
- 60', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 66', Leyds D. (Try),
Preview
La Rochelle is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Leinster is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5). La Rochelle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Leinster is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches La Rochelle won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 105:126 (average 21:25.2). Including matches at home between the teams La Rochelle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 41:39 (average 20.5:19.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| European Rugby Champions Cup | | | 13.04.24 | Leinster - La Rochelle | 40:13 | | 10.12.23 | La Rochelle - Leinster | 9:16 | | 20.05.23 | Leinster - La Rochelle | 26:27 | | 28.05.22 | Leinster - La Rochelle | 21:24 | | 02.05.21 | La Rochelle - Leinster | 32:23 |
|
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