Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports Player
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Ulster		La Rochelle

	1	X	2
	1.05	41	9
	1.03	40	10
	1.03	34	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.07)	38.33 ↑ (32.67)	10 ↑ (8.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ulster
88.4%

Draw
2.4%

La Rochelle
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.2%

2.8%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ulster - La Rochelle Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -19.5 - Ulster (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulster (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:14

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bell A.	1. Penverne L.
2. Stewart T.	2. Garault G.
3. O'Toole T.	3. Sorin K.
4. Henderson I. (C)	4. Lavault T.
5. Izuchukwu C.	5. Kuntelia A.
6. McCann D.	6. Richer E.
7. Timoney N.	7. Fraindt K.
8. Augustus J.	8. Andjisseramatchi L.
9. Doak N.	9. Berjon T. (C)
10. Murphy J.	10. Jurd D.
11. Ward Z.	11. Bosmorin H.
12. McCloskey S.	12. Seguret A.
13. Hume J.	13. Seuteni U.
14. Kok W.	14. Pacome U.
15. Stockdale J.	15. West I.
Substitutes
16. McCormick J.	16. Latu S.
17. Crean S.	17. Luaki C.
18. Wilson S.	18. Sclavi J.
19. Sheridan H.	19. Kaddouri A.
20. Ward B.	20. Sutidze N.
21. McKee C.	21. Cancoriet J.
22. Flannery J.	22. Elissalde S.
23. Postlethwaite J.	23. Couillaud N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 10)
5', Ward Z. (Try),
6', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
10', Doak N. (Penalty Goal),
23', Jurd D. (Penalty Goal),
25', O'Toole T. (Try),
26', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
29', Ward Z. 🟨,
37', Izuchukwu C. (Try),
38', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
40+2', Cancoriet J. (Try),
40+3', Jurd D. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (17 - 14)
47', Ward Z. (Try),
51', Latu S. (Try),
52', Jurd D. (Conversion Goal),
54', Ward B. (Try),
77', McCormick J. (Try),
78', Flannery J. (Conversion Goal),
80+3', Sclavi J. (Try),
80+4', Jurd D. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Ulster is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 69:97. (average 17.3:24.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 49:49. (average 24.5:24.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulster Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
04.04.26	Ulster - Ospreys	28:24 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Zebre - Ulster	12:28 ✺
20.03.26	Ulster - Connacht	19:26 ✺
13.03.26	Edinburgh - Ulster	19:40 ✺
28.02.26	Ospreys - Ulster	21:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWL
- La Rochelle
Challenge Cup Rugby
04.04.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - La Rochelle	18:26 ✺
French Top 14
28.03.26	Aviron Bayonnais - La Rochelle	26:15 ✺
21.03.26	La Rochelle - Section Paloise	20:6 ✺
28.02.26	Castres - La Rochelle	26:31 ✺
14.02.26	La Rochelle - Montpellier	33:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
14.01.23	La Rochelle - Ulster	7:3
17.12.22	Ulster - La Rochelle	29:36
13.01.18	Ulster - La Rochelle	20:13
22.10.17	La Rochelle - Ulster	41:17

Upcoming Matches