Match Info

KNVB Beker - Final

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus
World	Onefootball


	AZ Alkmaar		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.38	3.55	2.68
	2.51	3.79	2.69
	2.32	3.61	2.80	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.63
	2.39	3.65	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.23)	3.62 (3.62)	2.7 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
39.3%

Draw
25.9%

NEC Nijmegen
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

25.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 26. Smit K. 6. Koopmeiners P. 10. Mijnans S. 9. Parrott T. 27. Daal R.	22. Cillessen J. (G) 14. Dasa E. 3. Sandler P. 24. Fonville D. 25. Ouaissa S. 23. Sano K. 6. Nejasmic D. 11. Onal B. 10. Chery T. (C) 20. Lebreton N. 30. Linssen B.
Substitutes
20. Boogaard K. 15. Chavez Garcia M. 18. Ichihara R. 17. Jensen I. 30. Kasius D. 45. Kovacs B. 2. Maikuma S. 35. Meerdink M. 24. Oufkir A. 23. van Duijl B. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 7. Weslley Patati 41. Zoet J. (G)	1. Crettaz G. (G) 9. Danilo Pereira 34. El Kachati Y. 4. Kaplan A. 7. Misidjan V. 17. Nuytinck B. 18. Ogawa K. 5. Ouwejan T. 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. 15. Willems J. 19. Willumsson W. T.
Coaches
Echteld L.	Schreuder D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Clasie J. 🟨,
10', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, de Wit M. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Onal B. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
53', de Wit M. 🟨,
55', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
69', Clasie J. ↓, van Duijl B. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Koopmeiners P. ⚽, Parrott T. (A),
74', Fonville D. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
74', Sano K. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
74', Linssen B. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
75', Sandler P. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Chery T. (A),
86', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Smit K. ⚽,
90+1', Smit K. 🟨,
90+4', Lebreton N. 🟨,
90+5', 5 - 1, Parrott T. ⚽,
90+5', Parrott T. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - De Kuip.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 2.

AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nijmegen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nijmegen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in AZ: Hornkamp J. (Injury) Kasius D. (Injury) Koopmeiners P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nijmegen: Kaplan A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:26. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of Dutch KNVB Beker for now

AZ Alkmaar: 5.51% Nijmegen: 4.21%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWL
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
12.04.26	NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
31.01.26	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:3
28.09.25	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	2:1
29.03.25	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	3:3
17.08.24	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:0
28.04.24	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	0:3
06.12.23	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:2
21.05.23	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	0:3

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