Match Info

Date: 27 May 2019, Monday


	Aston Villa		Derby County

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	4.2	Watch
	2.05	3.3	4
	2	3.2	4.4
	1.98	3.08	3.98
	2.06	3.27	4.26
	2	3.2	4.2
	2.06	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.21)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	4.19 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
47.3%

Draw
29.7%

Derby County
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.1%	7.3%	2.6%

Aston Villa - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: 151 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 136 - 90.1%). Derby will win (votes: 4 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 7.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 85.3% – 94.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English League Championship
14.05.19	West Bromwich Albion - Aston Villa	1:1 penalties ✺
11.05.19	Aston Villa - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
05.05.19	Aston Villa - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
28.04.19	Leeds United - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
22.04.19	Aston Villa - Millwall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLTW
- Derby County
English League Championship
15.05.19	Leeds United - Derby County	2:4 ✺
11.05.19	Derby County - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
05.05.19	Derby County - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
01.05.19	Swansea City - Derby County	1:1 ✺
27.04.19	Bristol City - Derby County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.03.19	Aston Villa - Derby County	4:0
10.11.18	Derby County - Aston Villa	0:3
28.04.18	Aston Villa - Derby County	1:1
16.12.17	Derby County - Aston Villa	2:0
25.02.17	Aston Villa - Derby County	1:0
20.08.16	Derby County - Aston Villa	0:0

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