Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belarus	Sport TV
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
France	Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 2 ROI
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Claro Sports
Moldova	Jurnal TV
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3, TDM Desporto
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Prime, Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football


	Bournemouth		Milan

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.70	3.30
	1.95	3.75	3.50
	1.97	3.65	3.60
	1.99	3.84	3.73
	2.05	3.81	3.56	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.60
	2.01	3.86	3.72
	1.90	3.75	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.21)	3.76 ↑ (3.63)	3.58 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
48%

Draw
25.4%

Milan
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

26.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	38.9%	22.2%

Bournemouth - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Milan will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Milan (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Bournemouth has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Milan is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bournemouth holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Bournemouth: Aarons M. (Off the roster) Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Forster F. (Off the roster) Jebbison D. (Off the roster) Kroupi E. J. (Foot Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Off the roster) Sanchez J. (Off the roster).

Confirmed absences for Milan: Bondo W. (Off the roster) Chukwueze S. (Hip Injury) Gabbia M. (Thigh Injury) Ramos G. (Calf Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury) Terracciano F. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Bournemouth: Scott A. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bournemouth has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Bournemouth against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Bournemouth: 9.14% AC Milan: 8.95%

Last Results with these Odds

Bournemouth - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.99%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
18.10.26	Bournemouth - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Bournemouth - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Chelsea - Bournemouth	5:1 ✺
20.09.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Real Sociedad - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
18.10.26	Milan - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Milan	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Sassuolo - Milan	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Milan - Lecce	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Milan - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.09.16	Bournemouth - Milan	1:2

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