Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 46

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Pride Park (Derby)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Derby County		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	13	Watch
	1.21	6.25	13.5
	1.22	6	13
	1.19	6.68	15
	1.19	6.68	13.71
	1.18	6.5	15
	1.2	6.7	14	Watch
	1.18	6.4	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.22)	6.46 ↑ (6.11)	13.65 ↑ (11.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
78.5%

Draw
14.6%

Carlisle United
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.7%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Derby County - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: Derby County will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wildsmith J. (G) 35. Nelson C. 5. Bradley S. 6. Cashin E. 2. Wilson K. 12. Smith K. 32. Adams E. 17. Sibley L. 9. Collins J. 8. Bird M. 11. Mendez-Laing N. (C)	40. Lewis H. (G) 2. Back F. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 26. Barclay B. 3. Armer J. 10. McCalmont A. 21. McGeouch D. 33. Neal H. 22. Mellish J. 35. Armstrong L. 9. Kelly G.
Substitutes
7. Barkhuizen T. 27. Blackett-Taylor C. 20. Elder C. 4. Hourihane C. 16. Thompson L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 14. Washington C.	13. Breeze G. (G) 27. Diamond J. 37. Dudik A. 32. Emmanuel J. 7. Gibson J. 16. Harris J. J.
Coaches
Warne P.	Simpson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Bird M. ⚽, Wilson K. (A),
41', Neal H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Collins J. ⚽, Bradley S. (A),
70', Kelly G. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
71', Sibley L. ↓, Elder C. ↑,
72', Wilson K. ↓, Hourihane C. ↑,
73', McGeouch D. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
83', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
84', Bird M. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
90+1', Bradley S. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Carlisle is Relegated to League Two

Derby is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carlisle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Derby is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English League One
20.04.24	Cambridge United - Derby County	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Derby County - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
10.04.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Derby County	0:0 ✺
02.04.24	Portsmouth - Derby County	2:2 ✺
29.03.24	Derby County - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTTW
- Carlisle United
English League One
20.04.24	Carlisle United - Wycombe Wanderers	1:3 ✺
13.04.24	Carlisle United - Blackpool	0:1 ✺
09.04.24	Cheltenham Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Northampton Town - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Carlisle United - Lincoln City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.09.23	Carlisle United - Derby County	0:2
English League Cup
23.08.16	Derby County - Carlisle United	2:1 penalties
11.08.14	Carlisle United - Derby County	0:2

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