Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)


	Fulham		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7.5
	1.46	4.6	6.75
	1.47	4.75	7	Watch
	1.46	4.74	6.94
	1.5	3.8	5
	1.45	4.55	6.95	Watch
	1.44	4.6	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.71)	4.54 ↑ (3.84)	6.71 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
65%

Draw
20.9%

Norwich City
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.6%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fulham's performance.

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norwich City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fulham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norwich City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Fulham - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Norwich will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodak M. (G) 21. Castagne T. 31. Diop I. 3. Bassey C. 12. Ballo-Toure F. 10. Cairney T. (C) 26. Palhinha J. 8. Wilson H. 22. Iwobi A. 30. Carlos Vinicius 20. Willian	12. Long G. (G) 35. Fisher K. 50. Warner J. 6. Gibson B. (C) 15. McCallum S. 29. Forshaw A. 8. Gibbs L. 25. Hernandez O. 42. Springett T. 20. Placheta P. 31. Hwang Ui-Jo
Substitutes
14. De Cordova-Reid B. 35. Francois T. 38. Harris L. 17. Leno B. (G) 18. Pereira A. 13. Ream T. 6. Reed H. 33. Robinson A. 19. Rodrigo Muniz	24. Duffy S. 16. Fassnacht C. 17. Gabriel Sara 11. Idah A. 23. McLean K. 39. Reyes V. (G) 27. Rowe J. 7. Sainz B. 3. Stacey J.
Coaches
Silva M.	Wagner D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fulham won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Norwich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fulham is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Fulham: Adarabioyo T. (Injury) Benda S. (Knee Injury) Lukic S. (Knee Injury) Traore A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Norwich: Hanley G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nunez M. (Ankle Injury) Sainz B. (Ankle Injury) Sargent J. (Ankle Injury) Sorensen J. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Tete K. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Fulham won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fulham won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
23.09.23	Crystal Palace - Fulham	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Fulham - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Manchester City - Fulham	5:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
26.08.23	Arsenal - Fulham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWLWT
- Norwich City
English League Championship
23.09.23	Plymouth Argyle - Norwich City	6:2 ✺
20.09.23	Norwich City - Leicester City	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Norwich City - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Rotherham United - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Bristol City - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
30.03.18	Norwich City - Fulham	0:2
05.08.17	Fulham - Norwich City	1:1
14.04.17	Norwich City - Fulham	1:3
18.10.16	Fulham - Norwich City	2:2
02.05.15	Norwich City - Fulham	4:2
18.10.14	Fulham - Norwich City	1:0
English Premier League
12.04.14	Fulham - Norwich City	1:0

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