Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Luton Town		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.38
	3.1	3.4	2.4	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.34
	3.27	3.35	2.4
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	3.16	3.42	2.3	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	3.37 ↓ (3.42)	2.33 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
30.5%

Draw
28.4%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	22.7%	59.1%

Luton Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 8 - 18.2%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 26 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolverhampton: 44.6% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 16. Burke R. 4. Lockyer T. (C) 29. Bell A. 12. Kabore I. 13. Nakamba M. 28. Lokonga A. S. 45. Doughty A. 7. Ogbene C. 9. Morris C. 19. Brown J.	1. Sa J. (G) 22. Semedo N. 15. Dawson C. 23. Kilman M. (C) 3. Ait Nouri R. 8. Joao Gomes 5. Lemina M. 7. Neto P. 27. Bellegarde J. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 12. Cunha M.
Substitutes
11. Adebayo E. 5. Andersen M. 8. Berry L. 14. Chong T. 26. Giles R. 23. Krul T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 17. Mpanzu P. 10. Woodrow C.	25. Bentley D. (G) 17. Bueno H. 2. Doherty M. 20. Doyle T. 18. Kalajdzic S. 21. Sarabia P. 9. Silva F. 24. Toti 6. Traore B.
Coaches
Edwards R.	O'Neil G.

Preview

Luton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wolverhampton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wolverhampton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
16.09.23	Fulham - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
01.09.23	Luton Town - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Luton Town - Gillingham	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
25.08.23	Chelsea - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Luton Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
16.09.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Blackpool	5:0 ✺
English Premier League
26.08.23	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Luton Town	0:0
English FA Cup
05.01.13	Luton Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0

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