Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3, Sky Sport Austria 5
Azerbaijan	23:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	21:00	Play6, Play Sports 1, RTBF Tipik, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	ANT1, RIK 1
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2, V Sport Ultra
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, C+ Sport, Free, New World TV
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Japan	04:00	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	Claro Sports, Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	21:00	Sporza, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Papua New Guinea	05:00	TVWan Sports
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	00:00	Varzish Sport
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	19:00	Disney+, VIX App


	Lyon		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.35
	2.55	3.3	2.7
	3.1	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.66	3.43	2.82
	3.18	3.24	2.43	Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.7
	3.24	3.45	2.4	Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.54)	3.35 ↓ (3.49)	2.51 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
32.7%

Draw
28.9%

Manchester United
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyon's form might have worsened.

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.3%	21.7%	50%

Lyon - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 17 - 28.8%). Man Utd will win (votes: 29 - 49.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 22%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 36.4% – 62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Man Utd (votes: 21 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Man Utd (1.73) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Man Utd (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Lyon (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH +1 - Man Utd (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 11 - 26.8%). Man Utd (votes: 27 - 65.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lucas Perri (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Clinton Mata 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 4. Akouokou P. 7. Veretout J. 18. Cherki R. 69. Mikautadze G. 32. Almada T.	24. Onana A. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 5. Maguire H. 15. Yoro L. 20. Dalot D. 18. Casemiro 25. Ugarte M. 13. Dorgu P. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 9. Hojlund R. 17. Garnacho A.
Substitutes
16. Abner Vinicius 41. Barisic T. 55. Caleta-Car D. 53. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 50. Diarra L. (G) 93. Gomes Rodriguez A. 20. Kumbedi S. 10. Lacazette A. 31. Matic N. 29. Molebe E. 27. Omari W.	41. Amass H. 1. Bayindir A. (G) 14. Eriksen C. 22. Heaton T. (G) 80. Kamason J. 87. Kukonki G. 2. Lindelof V. 37. Mainoo K. 64. Moorhouse J. 7. Mount M. 23. Shaw L. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Almada T. ⚽,
31', Dalot D. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Yoro L. ⚽, Ugarte M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Akouokou P. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
53', Ugarte M. 🟨,
63', Hojlund R. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
72', Ugarte M. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
79', Mount M. 🟨,
79', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
83', Garnacho A. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
83', Maguire H. ↓, Lindelof V. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Zirkzee J. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
90+5', Mainoo K. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Cherki R. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Lyon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Man Utd is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Collyer T. (Knock) Diallo A. (Ankle Injury) Evans J. (Lower Back Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Obi C. (Inactive) de Ligt M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lyon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
05.04.25	Lyon - Lille	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Strasbourg - Lyon	4:2 ✺
16.03.25	Lyon - Le Havre	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.03.25	Lyon - FCSB	4:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.03.25	Nice - Lyon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
06.04.25	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:0 ✺
01.04.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Leicester City - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.03.25	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
09.03.25	Manchester United - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.23	Manchester United - Lyon	1:0

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