Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	23:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, RTBF Tipik
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free, New World TV
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 4
Hungary	21:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	19:00	Stod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Iran	22:30	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Japan	04:00	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	21:00	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus
International	19:00	Disney+, VIX App


	Manchester United		Lyon

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	4.75
	1.75	4	4.33
	1.7	4.1	4.85	Watch
	1.7	4.25	4.92
	1.71	4.13	4.77	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4.4
	1.7	4.19	4.86	Watch
	1.7	4.1	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.71)	4.1 (4.1)	4.72 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
56.2%

Draw
23.5%

Lyon
20.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

23.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

25.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.1%	20.6%	14.3%

Manchester United - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 41 - 65.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 9 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 53.3% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 13 - 50%). Lyon (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Man Utd (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Man Utd (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Lyon (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 15 - 50%). Lyon (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 5. Maguire H. 15. Yoro L. 20. Dalot D. 25. Ugarte M. 18. Casemiro 13. Dorgu P. 17. Garnacho A. 9. Hojlund R. 8. Fernandes B. (C)	23. Lucas Perri (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Clinton Mata 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 4. Akouokou P. 7. Veretout J. 18. Cherki R. 69. Mikautadze G. 32. Almada T.
Substitutes
41. Amass H. 1. Bayindir A. (G) 14. Eriksen C. 22. Heaton T. (G) 80. Kamason J. 87. Kukonki G. 2. Lindelof V. 37. Mainoo K. 64. Moorhouse J. 7. Mount M. 23. Shaw L.	16. Abner Vinicius 55. Caleta-Car D. 40. Descamps R. (G) 50. Diarra L. (G) 11. Fofana M. 20. Kumbedi S. 10. Lacazette A. 31. Matic N. 27. Omari W. 15. Tessmann T.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ugarte M. ⚽, Garnacho A. (A),
18', Veretout J. 🟨,
45+1', Tolisso C. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Dalot D. ⚽, Maguire H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mazraoui N. ↓, Shaw L. ↑,
50', Garnacho A. 🟨,
55', Veretout J. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
55', Akouokou P. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
64', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
64', Mikautadze G. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽, Lacazette A. (A),
78', 2 - 2, Tagliafico N. ⚽, Maitland-Niles A. (A),
86', Ugarte M. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
86', Hojlund R. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
89', Tolisso C. 🟨,
Extra Time (3 - 2)
93', Maguire H. 🟨,
100', Garnacho A. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
100', Dorgu P. ↓, Amass H. ↑,
105', 2 - 3, Cherki R. ⚽,
106', Cherki R. ↓, Abner Vinicius ↑,
108', Yoro L. 🟨,
110', 2 - 4, Lacazette A. (Pen),
114', 3 - 4, Fernandes B. (Pen),
115', Tagliafico N. ↓, Caleta-Car D. ↑,
120', 4 - 4, Mainoo K. ⚽, Casemiro (A),
120+1', 5 - 4, Maguire H. ⚽, Casemiro (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Recent matches Man Utd is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lyon is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Man Utd have a series of guest games.

In this match Man Utd is a favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Collyer T. (Knock) Diallo A. (Ankle Injury) Evans J. (Lower Back Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Obi C. (Inactive) Zirkzee J. (Hamstring Injury) de Ligt M. (Injury)

There will not play in Lyon: Gomes Rodriguez A. (Inactive) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
13.04.25	Newcastle United - Manchester United	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.04.25	Lyon - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
06.04.25	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:0 ✺
01.04.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Leicester City - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTLW
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
13.04.25	Auxerre - Lyon	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.04.25	Lyon - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.04.25	Lyon - Lille	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Strasbourg - Lyon	4:2 ✺
16.03.25	Lyon - Le Havre	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.04.25	Lyon - Manchester United	2:2
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Manchester United - Lyon	1:0

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