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Current Win Probability
Newport County 31.2%
Draw 30.6%
Bolton Wanderers 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
28.9%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
20.7%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newport County - Bolton Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Newport has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bolton has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a good chance of promoted (57%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Recent matches Newport is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bolton is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Newport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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