Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 35

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Santos		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	8	Watch
	1.43	4.1	7
	1.44	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.45	4.3	7.94
	1.46	4.07	7.32	Watch
	1.44	4.2	7.5
	1.44	4.25	7.38	Watch
	1.44	4.2	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	4.17 ↑ (4.09)	7.52 ↑ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
65%

Draw
22.5%

Vila Nova
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.9%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

22.2%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Santos - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 3. Hayner 15. Joao Basso 4. Gil 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Diego Pituca (C) 20. Giuliano 37. Serginho 11. Guilherme 19. Wendell	26. Denis Junior (G) 3. Vanderley 4. Jemmes 33. Dankler 22. Apodi 5. Cristiano 18. Arilson 14. Rhuan 7. Emerson Urso 29. Junior Todinho 11. Alesson (C)
Substitutes
25. Alison Lopes 12. Diogenes (G) 9. Furch J. 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 66. Laquintana I. 14. Luan Peres 22. Otero R. 88. Patrick 8. Rincon T. 23. Sandry 33. Souza 27. Willian Bigode	9. Denilson 21. Gabriel Silva 13. Guilherme Lacerda 99. Halls (G) 19. Henrique Almeida 27. Igor Henrique 20. Joao Lucas 15. Joao Victor 6. Rian
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Thiago Carvalho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', Serginho ↓, Otero R. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Joao Basso ⚽,
64', Vanderley 🟨,
67', Hayner ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
72', Vanderley ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
72', Apodi ↓, Rian ↑,
74', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
78', Emerson Urso ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
78', Junior Todinho ↓, Denilson ↑,
82', Diego Pituca 🟨,
83', Giuliano ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
83', Joao Schmidt ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
83', Wendell ↓, Furch J. ↑,
85', Joao Basso 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, Guilherme (Pen),
90+8', Alesson 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 0, Otero R. ⚽,
90+12', Otero R. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Santos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santos is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
28.10.24	Ituano - Santos	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Santos - Ceará	1:0 ✺
16.10.24	Chapecoense - Santos	3:2 ✺
12.10.24	Santos - Mirassol	3:2 ✺
07.10.24	Goiás - Santos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.24	Avaí - Vila Nova	3:0 ✺
22.10.24	Vila Nova - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Vila Nova - Coritiba	0:3 ✺
13.10.24	Goiás - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Mirassol - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.07.24	Vila Nova - Santos	1:1

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