Match Info

DFB Pokal - Semi-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
Andorra	20:45	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	20:45	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Belarus	21:45	Sport TV
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	15:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	02:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Disney+
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 4
Finland	21:45	Disney+, Veikkaus TV
France	20:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	20:45	ARD, Das Erste, DFB Play, Servus TV, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport News, Sky Sport Top Event, tv.dfb.de, WOW
Greece	21:45	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Haiti	14:45	Tele Haiti
Hungary	20:45	Selekt, Sport 2
India	00:15	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	01:45	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	21:45	Sport 1
Italy	20:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	Qazsport
Kenya	21:45	Gotv
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Sports, Sooka
Mexico	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
Nigeria	19:45	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	20:45	Disney+, VG+
Pakistan	23:45	Tapmad
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 4
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Saudi Arabia	21:45	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	20:45	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	20:45	Gol Play, GolStadium
Sweden	20:45	Disney+
Switzerland	20:45	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	01:45	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Arab Emirates	22:45	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, Abu Dhabi Sports 2
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, ESPNU
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	01:45	SCTV 22
International	18:45	Onefootball


	Stuttgart		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.65	4.15	4.95
	1.66	4.4	5.02
	1.62	4.44	4.89	Watch
	1.6	4	4.6
	1.69	4.47	5.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	4.28 ↑ (4.18)	4.87 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
58.1%

Draw
22.3%

Freiburg
19.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.9%

22.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

24.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stuttgart, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	3.8%	15.4%

Stuttgart - Freiburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 3. Hendriks R. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 18. Leweling J. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 10. Fuhrich C. 26. Undav D. 28. Nartey N. 9. Demirovic E.	21. Muller F. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. (C) 31. Matanovic I.
Substitutes
30. Andres C. 22. Assignon L. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 11. El Khannouss B. 14. Jaquez L. 8. Tomas T. 4. Vagnoman J. 23. Zagadou D.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 22. Irie C. 17. Kubler L. 43. Ogbus B. 26. Philipp M. 7. Scherhant D.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Makengo J. 🟨,
15', Nartey N. 🟨,
17', Manzambi J. 🟨,
17', Leweling J. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Eggestein M. ⚽, Ginter M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Grifo V. 🟨,
63', Nartey N. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Undav D. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
71', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
74', Matanovic I. 🟨,
84', Matanovic I. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Demirovic E. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
94', Holer L. 🟨,
95', Hendriks R. 🟨,
98', Hendriks R. ↓, Jaquez L. ↑,
101', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
102', Beste J. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
113', Treu P. ↓, Ogbus B. ↑,
118', Fuhrich C. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
118', Undav D. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
119', 2 - 1, Tomas T. ⚽, Bouanani B. (A),
120+1', Tomas T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 3.

Stuttgart has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Freiburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stuttgart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stuttgart is the team to beat.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Jeltsch F. (Injury) Jovanovic L. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Knee Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 41:29. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.2:1).

Outrights of German DFB Pokal for now

Freiburg: 1.92%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	4:2 ✺
12.04.26	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Augsburg - Stuttgart	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Porto - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Freiburg - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
12.04.26	Mainz - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Freiburg - Celta de Vigo	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
01.02.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	1:0
13.09.25	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1
18.01.25	Stuttgart - Freiburg	4:0
24.08.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1
03.02.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	1:3
02.09.23	Stuttgart - Freiburg	5:0
11.02.23	Freiburg - Stuttgart	2:1

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