The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 42.7%
Draw 25.9%
St. Louis City 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
24.9%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
24.3%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Fire's form might have worsened.
St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Chicago Fire - St. Louis City Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 27. Borso D. 16. Waterman J. 4. Mbokazi M. 14. Radojevic V. 22. Pineda M. 6. Saletros A. (C) 35. Oregel S. 11. Zinckernagel P. 9. Cuypers H. 7. Haile-Selassie M.
1. Burki R. (C) 5. MacNaughton L. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 14. Totland T. 8. Durkin C. 24. Edelman D. 6. Wallem C. 36. Teuchert C. 17. Hartel M. 16. Cordova S.
Substitutes
44. Cohen J. (G) 42. D'Avilla D. 3. Elliott J. 15. Gutman A. 17. Lod R. 29. Poreba D. 20. Shokalook J.
11. Becher S. 27. Fall F. 59. Joyner M. 10. Lowen E. 39. Lundt B. (G) 4. Mbacke M. 28. Perez M.
Coaches
Berhalter G.
Damet Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Radojevic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Teuchert C. ↓, Lowen E. ↑,
59', Wallem C. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Saletros A. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
65', Saletros A. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
65', Cuypers H. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
66', Polvara D. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Totland T. ⚽,
77', Borso D. ↓, Gutman A. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Lowen E. ⚽, Joyner M. (A),
82', Waterman J. 🟨,
85', Radojevic V. ↓, Poreba D. ↑,
85', Mbokazi M. ↓, Elliott J. ↑,
85', Cordova S. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
85', Totland T. ↓, Fall F. ↑,
87', Becher S. 🟨,
Preview
Chicago is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, St. Louis City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Chicago is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).